ADFM Risk + Execution

Hedge Timer

Early-warning stress, multi-timeframe momentum and trend confirmation with early-stage and oversold gates.
About This Tool Purpose, reading guide and primary inputs

Provides tactical timing cues for adding, holding, reducing, or rolling portfolio hedges.

  1. Start with the composite hedge state and its gating conditions.
  2. Compare trend, stress, and drawdown evidence across horizons.
  3. Use the post-2020 sanity check to understand historical misses and false positives.

Treat the output as timing evidence within a hedge plan, not as a standalone trade instruction.

Primary inputs: Yahoo Finance; FRED regime inputs.

Calibrating hedge signals and historical drawdown coverage…